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Tensions in the Caribbean: civilian risks due to an increasingly militarised environment
Report date: 14 October 2025 (17:00 hours UTC+2) Executive summary Recent military activity by the United States and Venezuela in the southern Caribbean increases exposure for civilian airliners and merchant ships to short-notice airspace and sea-lane restrictions, re-routing and delays. Night-time reconnaissance patterns in the southern Puerto Rico FIR, added airlift and refuelling flights, and exercises near busy approaches raise the chance of misidentification, especially
Oct 1517 min read
Intel Brief: China-Philippines Tensions in the South China Sea Simmer
Date: 18/09/2025  (12:00 UTC+2) Where? South China Sea: Scarborough Shoal Who’s involved? China, Philippines What happened? On...
Sep 185 min read
Beijing’s Reach: How China Prepares for War
Gregorio Albini Introduction For decades, the People’s Republic of China (PRC) has maintained its claim over the Republic of China...
Jul 1516 min read
Intel Brief: Houthi Attacks on Commercial Vessels in Red Sea
Date:  09/07/2025 Where? Red Sea; 51 NM off the coast of Hodeidah, Yemeni coast. What happened? On 06/07/2025 , the MV Magic Seas  ...
Jul 93 min read
Update XII: Situation in the Middle East
Date:  27/06/2025 Where: Middle East, particularly Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Syria, Qatar, Kuwait, Bahrain, the UAE Who’s involved:...
Jun 273 min read
Update XI: Situation in the Middle East
No exchange of attacks between Israel and Iran took place between 25 and 26 June, suggesting armed confrontation between them has subsided.Â
Jun 263 min read
Update IX: Situation in the Middle EastÂ
Date:  24/06/2025 Where: Middle East, particularly Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Syria, Qatar, Kuwait, Bahrain, the UAE Who’s involved:...
Jun 246 min read
Update VIII: Situation in the Middle EastÂ
Date:  23/06/2025 Where: Middle East, particularly Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan and Syria Who’s involved: Israel, Iran, United States,...
Jun 235 min read
Update VII: Situation in the Middle East
Areas of US (yellow), Israeli (blue) and Iranian (green) targeting between 21 and 22 June 2025 Date: Â 22/06/2025Â Where:Â Middle East,...
Jun 235 min read
Update VI: Situation in the Middle East
Date:  20/06/2025 Where: Middle East, particularly Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan and Syria Who’s involved: Israel, Iran, United States In...
Jun 206 min read
Update V: Situation in the Middle East
Areas of major targeting (blue) between 18 and 19 June 2025 Date: Â 19/06/2025Â Where:Â Middle East, particularly Iran, Iraq, Israel,...
Jun 196 min read
Update IV: Situation in the Middle East
Date:  18/06/2025 Areas of major targeting in blue Where: Middle East, particularly Iran,  Iraq, Israel, Jordan and Syria Who’s...
Jun 185 min read
Update: Situation in the Middle East
Date:  13/06/2025 Where: Middle East, particularly Iran,  Iraq, Israel, Jordan and Syria Who’s involved: Israel, Iran ...
Jun 136 min read
Intel Brief: Risk of Serious Escalation in Middle East Threatens the Maritime and Aviation Sector
Date: 21/05/2025 Where: • Israel, Ben Gurion Airport (TLV/LLBG), Iran, Strait of Hormuz Who’s involved: • Israel, Houthis (Yemen),...
May 213 min read
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Dyami
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