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Tensions in the Caribbean: civilian risks due to an increasingly militarised environment
Report date: 14 October 2025 (17:00 hours UTC+2) Executive summary Recent military activity by the United States and Venezuela in the southern Caribbean increases exposure for civilian airliners and merchant ships to short-notice airspace and sea-lane restrictions, re-routing and delays. Night-time reconnaissance patterns in the southern Puerto Rico FIR, added airlift and refuelling flights, and exercises near busy approaches raise the chance of misidentification, especially
Oct 1517 min read
Airspace security in the south Caribbean: US F-35 aircraft reported 75 km from Caracas airport
Report date: 06/10/2025 Approximate location of US F-35 aircraft flights 75 km from Venezuela’s capital Caracas (yellow circle) Where:...
Oct 76 min read
Intel Overview: Protests in Latin America in the past week
Date: 19/09/2025, 17:00 UTC+2 Where? Peru, Ecuador, Argentina, Mexico Timeline On 12/09/2025 , the Ecuadorian government announced...
Sep 195 min read
Tensions in the Caribbean Sea: Analysing the possibilities of a military confrontation between the United States and Venezuela
Despite President Maduro’s claims of a ‘US military threat,’ there is no evidence at present that the United States is preparing for a land invasion of Venezuela.
Sep 1011 min read
Intel Brief: Mexico’s Contested Judicial Elections
When: 01/06/2025 What: On 01/06/2025 , Mexico will hold its first judicial elections . Mexican citizens will directly elect nine...
May 303 min read
Intel Brief: China’s Global Security Initiative
Date: 12/11/2024 Where : Kazan, Russia Who’s involved : BRICS+ (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, Egypt, Iran, Ethiopia,...
Nov 12, 20244 min read
Intel Brief: Political polarization paralyzes Bolivia, caught between social unrest and economic crisis.
Tensions escalate in Bolivia over political dispute between President Arce and former indigenous leader Morales
Nov 6, 20245 min read
Conflict Monitoring Report: October 2024
Our conflict monitoring report highlights developments in conflict zones, civil unrest, and elections around the world during October 2024.
Nov 1, 202423 min read
Intel Report: As new presidency kicks off, Mexico experiences political and security crises
Date: 04/10/2024 Location: Mexico Who’s involved : New Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum, outgoing President Lopez Obrador,...
Oct 4, 20245 min read
Intel Brief: As crackdown on dissent intensifies, Venezuela arrests foreign nationals
Date: 19/09/2024 Location: Venezuela Who’s involved : Venezuelan government, Venezuelan President Maduro, Spain, United States, UN,...
Sep 19, 20244 min read
Intel Brief: Despite the UN-backed mission, Haiti’s security crisis deepens
Date: 20/08/2024 Where : Haiti Who’s involved : Kenya-led MSS, Haiti security forces, gangs What happened? Haiti has been...
Aug 20, 20245 min read
An Unpredictable Neighbor: Venezuela's Crime Threat to the Dutch Caribbean
Written by Chris Dalby, Director of World of Crime The Kingdom of the Netherlands seems perpetually locked in a rivalry with its...
Aug 1, 20245 min read
An Unpredictable Neighbor: International Responses to Venezuela's election
Written by Sara Frisan, Arianna Lucà, and Alessia Cappelletti Following the 2024 Venezuelan Presidential election, protests have...
Jul 31, 20245 min read
An Unpredictable Neighbor: Venezuela's election results
Written by Sara Frisan, Arianna Lucà and Alessia Cappelletti The Security Strategy for the Kingdom of the Netherlands published in April...
Jul 30, 20247 min read
Intel Brief: Ecuador’s shift toward El Salvador’s hardline security policies
Date: 07/06/2024 Where: Ecuador, El Salvador Who’s involved: President Nayib Bukele, President Daniel Noboa, Gangs, Drug cartels What...
Jun 7, 20245 min read
Dyami REBASE light - April - May 2024 Report on Business Aviation Security
Executive Summary The past two months have shown the risk of (last minute) military exercises, which by design or on accident hinder...
Jun 4, 20243 min read
Mexico Votes: Security and Criminal Risks Surrounding Elections
Mexico attracts millions of tourists and billions of investment dollars, but it continues to suffer tens from violence and criminal activity
May 29, 20245 min read
Intel Report: Rising Violence and Political Challengers Threaten Colombian President Petro’s Peace Aspirations
Written by Arianna Lucà and Sara Frisan Edited on the 28/05/2024 Date: 27/05/2024 Where: Colombia Who’s involved: President Petro,...
May 27, 20246 min read
Ecuador’s “armed conflict”: Challenges to security and democracy
Written by Arianna Luca While just a few years ago Ecuador was a regular stop in most tourists’ itineraries and considered to be a...
Apr 20, 20246 min read
Dyami REBASE Light - February - March 2024 Report on Business Aviation Security
Executive Summary Following up on the last two months, GPS interference has picked up around the Baltics and Black Sea. This causes...
Apr 4, 20244 min read
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