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Analyses & News
Dyami
Analyses

In-Depth Articles and Analyses
One of Dyami's major strengths is our in-house analyst capability. On a regular basis, our team and DEWIS workgroup publish articles and analyses on our website.
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Note that some of our freely-available publications are short versions of an expanded analysis or report.
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Intel Brief: Increase of airspace incursions throughout Europe
Date:  25/11/2025 (16:30 UTC+01:00) Where? Europe; Romania, Moldova, the Netherlands, Lithuania. Belgium, Sweden, Germany What happened? On 25/11/2025 , six Russian drones crossed Moldovan and Romanian airspace during a large strike on Ukraine. One crashed near the village of Etulia, with at least one drone tracked heading toward the Romanian border. Romanian air defence remained on alert after previous incursions. The Romanian MoD reported two drone incursions from Ukrai
6 hours ago5 min read


Intel Brief: Russian vessel Yantar incident off UK coast
Date:  24/11/2025 (16:00 UTC+01:00) Who? Russian intelligence-gathering vessel Yantar (Project 22010 oceanographic vessel, ~108 metres, IMO 7524419); operated by Russian Ministry of Defence Main Directorate of Deep-Sea Research (GUGI); deployed by Russian Navy/intelligence agencies.  Where? Not expressly given by the British government, but according to open source flight data and the approaches of two military aircraft, the location of the incident likely occurred north w
11 hours ago4 min read


Intel Brief: Islamists win ground in Bangladeshi power vacuum
Date:  18/11/2025  (10:45 UTC+01:00) Where? Bangladesh; South Asia What happened? On 17/11/2025 , former Bangladesh leader Sheikh Hasina was sentenced to death in absentia by a special tribunal in Dhaka for crimes against humanity over her government’s violent crackdown on student-led protests last year . Hasina was convicted of incitement, issuing kill orders and inaction to prevent atrocities during the government crackdown on the student protests. Along with her, her for
Nov 185 min read


Incident Brief: Drone sightings in Belgium
Incident Brief: Drone sightings in Belgium On 03/10/2025 , drones were spotted above the Belgium military base Elsenborn at the German border. Around 1.45pm, German authorities from the city Düren observed 15 drones. On 26/10/2025 , Reports mention an overnight sighting of five drones above the military barracks of Kamp Koning Albert (Camp King Albert), Marche-en-Famenne. On 28/10/2025 , another sighting of two drones was reported at Kamp Koning Albert (Camp King Albert),..
Nov 104 min read


Contemporary Security Challenges: Political Radicalization in Belgium
Part 1: The far-right* As Belgium confronts growing social unrest and protest movements, the risk posed by right-wing radicalization has quietly ascended into a more prominent security dimension. Where Part 1 of this series explored the radical left, the Belgian State Security Service (VSSE) since 2024 monitors an estimated 64 individuals linked to far-right extremist networks versus just 14 for the left, underscoring a notable shift in focus. The Coordination Unit for Threat
Nov 55 min read


Contemporary Security Challenges: Political Radicalization in Belgium
Part 1: The left-wing dynamic* In October 2025, Belgium experienced nationwide protests against proposed austerity measures by Prime Minister Bart De Wever’s government. While most demonstrations were peaceful, a subset of radical left-wing groups engaged in violent acts such as vandalism, clashes with police, and property damage. These events are part of a broader cycle of unrest, as major trade unions — ABVV/FGTB, ACV/CSC, and ACLVB/CGSLB — have already announced three addi
Oct 244 min read


Report: Rare Earth Elements as a driver for Current and Future Conflict
Summary Global supply chains for rare earth elements (REE) are under significant strain due to China’s export controls, geopolitical conflicts and rising demand for green technologies. The US and EU are accelerating efforts to diversify supply, increase domestic production, and boost recycling, but face challenges in meeting ambitious targets. Market volatility and regulatory uncertainty continue to impact manufacturers and downstream industries. Recent developments The Chine
Oct 177 min read


Tensions in the Caribbean: civilian risks due to an increasingly militarised environment
Report date: 14 October 2025 (17:00 hours UTC+2) Executive summary Recent military activity by the United States and Venezuela in the southern Caribbean increases exposure for civilian airliners and merchant ships to short-notice airspace and sea-lane restrictions, re-routing and delays. Night-time reconnaissance patterns in the southern Puerto Rico FIR, added airlift and refuelling flights, and exercises near busy approaches raise the chance of misidentification, especially
Oct 1517 min read


Intel Brief: Madagascar's President Flees Country
Date:  13/10/2025 (15:00 UTC+2) Where? Madagascar; Antananarivo, Toamasina, Antsirabe, Toliara, Antsiranana, Mahajanga What happened? On 13/10/2025 , it was reported that the President of Madagascar, Andry Rajoelina, had been flown out of the country on board a French military aircraft following a deal with President Macron. This latest development follows weeks of civil unrest and protest all over the island nation, with people calling for Rajoelina’s resignation. It al
Oct 133 min read
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