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Intel Brief: Indications of Independence Day unrest in Tanzania
Date: 02/12/2025 (11:30 UTC+01:00) Where? Tanzania: Dar es Salaam, Arusha, Mwanza, Dodoma (and possibly more cities) What happened? Recently, it was announced that Tanzania will cancel its celebration for its 64th Independence Day, held on 09/12/2025 . The official reason is that the money for the festivities is needed to rebuild infrastructure damaged during the post-election protests that swept the nation in early November. The decision appears to have deeper political
Dec 2, 20252 min read


Intel Brief: Coup in Guinea-Bissau
Date: 27/11/2025 (12:00 UTC+01:00) Where? Guinea-Bissau; Bissau What happened? On 23/11/2025 , the West-African nation Guinea-Bissau held presidential and legislative elections. If the incumbent Umaro Sissoco Embaló would manage to become re-elected, he would be the first president in Guinea-Bissau to do so in about three decades. Tensions surrounding the elections had been simmering for a while. On 31/10/2025 , a group of senior officers in the country’s army was arrest
Nov 27, 20254 min read


Intel Brief: Madagascar's President Flees Country
Date: 13/10/2025 (15:00 UTC+2) Where? Madagascar; Antananarivo, Toamasina, Antsirabe, Toliara, Antsiranana, Mahajanga What happened? On 13/10/2025 , it was reported that the President of Madagascar, Andry Rajoelina, had been flown out of the country on board a French military aircraft following a deal with President Macron. This latest development follows weeks of civil unrest and protest all over the island nation, with people calling for Rajoelina’s resignation. It al
Oct 13, 20253 min read


Intel brief: France and Mali stop intelligence sharing following dispute
Report date: 01/10/2025 What happened? On 15/08/2025, Mali’s junta announced it had detained a French national accused of spying for...
Oct 2, 20254 min read


Intel brief: Riek Machar on trial: South Sudan’s fragile peace at risk
Date: 23/09/2025 What happened? On 22/09/2025 , a treason trial began against the Vice President of South Sudan, Riek Machar. Machar...
Sep 22, 20253 min read


Intel Brief: The Gambia’s overfishing issues, conflict and tensions between fishermen and foreign trawlers
Date: 01/09/2025 Where: The Gambia and coastal waters Who’s involved: Gambian Government, local fishermen and fishing communities,...
Sep 2, 20254 min read


Intel Brief: Yet Another (Thwarted) Military Coup in Mali
Date: 12/08/2025 (14:00 GMT+2) Where? Mali What happened? On 11/08/2025 , it was reported that Malian authorities had arrested two...
Aug 12, 20253 min read



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